Last week was a good one for the crew, with everyone over .500. Ben posted the best record for the week, which hasn't happened too often the last two seasons, so let's let him enjoy it. Ok, that's long enough.

As always, picks are against the spread and home teams are bolded.

This Week

Ben: 10-3-1
David: 11-2-1
John: 7-6-1
Zach: 8-5-1

Bills +1 vs. Bengals

Ben: Bengals. The Bills offense mustered 13 points on the Jets defense and were lucky to put that up. Bad sign. So even at home against the most wasted talent in the league, I can't take them. Wrong.
David: Bills. Buffalo is surprisingly frisky at home. The defense is not embarrassing, and the offense is shockingly competent. Dick Jauron, we hardly knew ye. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Bengals. Has Cincy fallen so far that they are barely favored against the Bills? Wrong.
Zach: Bills. Cincinnati is bad. The Bills aren't all that good, but they're getting points at home, and I'm hoping for another big week from Lee Evans. Right.

Lions -3 vs. Bronocs

Ben: Lions. DVOA says the Broncos are slightly better than Lions. But at home and the Broncos looking lost on defense, I'm taking Detroit. Right.
David: Lions. God bless Jon Kitna, his inappropriate Halloween costumes, and his ability to execute Mike Martz’s offense. Gentlemen, if you don’t score fifty points, we’ll withhold your paychecks for the next month. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Lions. This team is going to have the best WR combo for the next 10 years. Heck, they’ve made Jon Kitna look like a superstar. Right.
Zach: Lions. Compared to Jon Kitna, my Halloween costume sucked. And I thought born-again Christians had no sense of humor. Right.

Titans -4 vs. Panthers

Ben: Titans. Carolina is the worst team with a winning record in the NFL. Thanks to that and the names on the jerseys this line is under a TD. Thank you, come again! Right.
David: Titans. The Panthers suck. I don’t know how else to put it. Accept it, people. There is no magic Panther juice. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Titans. Look at the Panthers QB. There’s nothing else you need to know, home and road records be damned. Right.
Zach: Titans. Maybe this is the game where Vince Young actually plays well. It has to happen eventually, right? Right? Right.

Chiefs -2 vs. Packers

Ben: Packers. Packers are a better team but two things are scary here. One, Arrowhead Stadium ain't easy to play in. Second, the Chiefs actually have a good defense, which means this could be one of those Brett Favre four pick performances which allows a very bad offense to score more points than it should. I'll take the better team anyway. Right.
David: Packers. Kansas City in November and beyond can be extremely cold. That’s not a problem for the Packers. They’re also simply the better team. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Packers. When did KC become a very good football team in people’s eyes? I know they’re good at home, but the Pack are more balanced. They can play offense and defense. The Chiefs can’t. Right.
Zach: Packers. Arrowhead doesn't scare me. Right.

Vikings +7 vs. Chargers

Ben: Chargers. I wanted to take the Vikings, but a look at the DVOA says I shouldn't. That and the Bolts passing game is rounding into form. The weakness of the Vikings? Their pass defense. Oh and their QB. Wrong.
David: Chargers. I’ve been talking to a girl I like a lot. Never met her in person, but I get a great feeling from our phone conversations. Of course, until I meet her and actually get to know her, there’s always that weird unknowingness hanging over our communications. It’s a lot like how I feel about the Chargers. On many levels, they just look like a great team, but the Norv factor hangs over everything. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Wrong.
John: Chargers. San Diego seems to be back, and they have a defense more than good enough to completely shut down a one dimensional Viking offensive attack. Wrong.
Zach: Chargers. Let's go team schizophrenia! Wrong.

Falcons -3 vs. 49ers

Ben: Falcons. According to Football Outsiders the Falcons are one of the worst teams in DVOA in the NFL this year. However the difference between them at – 25.6% and the Niners at -50% is almost the same as the difference between the Dirty Birds and the Browns. The Browns are 15th in the league. What does this show? Not all bad is created equal. Also, the Niners are freaking disaster that, if not for a pair of tremendously lucky wins the first two weeks, would be a near lock to go winless. Right.
David: Falcons. Both teams suck. Go with the home team. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: 49ers. This game sucks. Flip a coin. Wrong.
Zach: Falcons. Because of the two wins, no one realizes that the 49ers are as bad as the Rams, and worse than the Dolphins. No way I'm picking them on the road, or ever. Right.

Saints -3 vs. Jaguars

Ben: Jaguars. The Jags GETTING points? Really? I know David Garrard has been one of the best quarterbacks in the league, but I also highly doubt Vegas knows that. The Saints kicking the dregs of the league does not constitute a resurgence. Wrong.
David: Saints. They’re not the same team they were early in the season. Then again, neither are they the same team they were last year, so I take pause. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Jaguars. I know they don’t have a QB but I think the Saints resurgence has been a little smoke and mirrors. The Jaguars will run it right down their throat and disrupt Drew Brees. Wrong.
Zach: Jaguars. The Saints appear to be moving in the right direction, but getting points to pick the better team seems like the wise move. Wrong.

Jets +3 vs. Redskins

Ben: Redskins. Chad Pennington is to the bench, which means likely absolutely nothing to the Jets overall chances of winning. Why? Because Chad doesn't play defensive end, middle linebacker or cornerback. The worst defense in the league belongs to the Jets, and unless Kellen Clemens is now calling plays on defense, a quarterback change is window dressing on a disastrous season. Push.
David: Redskins. Rookie QB against a Gregg Williams defense? Thanks, Eric, for making my pick for me. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Push.
John: Redskins. A good defense will be out for blood after getting demolished by the Pats last week, They will dominate a rookie QB. Plus the Jets can’t get out of their own way right now. The spread worries me but I’ll take my chances. Push.
Zach: Redskins. Can't see the Jets winning. Push.

Buccaneers -3.5 vs. Cardinals

Ben: Buccaneers. I was tempted to take the Cardinals since they have looked better as of late. Then I realized that saying that means they're due to become the Cardinals again. So Bucs it is. Right.
David: Buccaneers. Raymond James Stadium hosted a South Florida loss yesterday. I don’t believe in curses. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Cardinals. The Cards defense will keep this a FG game either way. The Bucs win a lot of tight games so take the points. Wrong.
Zach: Buccaneers. But watch out for Robo-Warner. Right.

Browns -1 vs. Seahawks

Ben: Browns. DVOA says the Seahawks should take this one, but for some reason, I don't buy that number. Could be all the times Zach has complained about how washed up Shaun Alexander looks. Or maybe I've bought into the Derek Anderson hype machine. By the way, Wiggles returns to Cleveland. Somehow, I doubt that will get much hype around there. Right.
David: Browns. Cleveland’s offense can exploit Seattle’s defensive weaknesses, because the Browns can play with anyone on that side of the ball. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Browns. Something is just wrong with the Seahawks this year. The Browns are historically real good at home, and Seattle bad on the road. Even so, this game can go either way. Right.
Zach: Seahawks. With DJ Hackett and possibly Deion Branch back, this is a far more dynamic offense. I mean, do you think Matt Hasselbeck liked throwing to Ben Obamanu and Courtney Taylor? Wrong.

Colts +5.5 vs. Patriots

Ben: Colts. I liked the Patriots by two in my preview, so I have to take the Colts since they're getting more than a field goal. Right.
David: Patriots. To me, this game is a pick ‘em. But I’m picking the Pats because they’re destroying everyone in sight. Make Indy try to win a shootout, and the Pats would be in great shape. Wrong.
John: Colts. Is this pick with my heart a little bit? Yes. Even so, the Colts are a very good team and this game should be close. An interesting dynamic, the Colts are now more like the Patriots from a couple years ago, and the Pats more like the Colts. Should we really wonder why the Colts have won the last three? Right.
Zach: Patriots. Best. Team. Ever. Wrong.

Raiders -3 vs. Texans

Ben: Texans. The Raiders are only the 4th worst team in the NFL. Lane Kiffin really is a rising star! Right.
David: Texans. Screw the Raiders. I don’t even want to think about them. Worse, they didn’t sell out their game, so fans in the Bay Area will have to watch Patriots-Colts. Damn them. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Raiders. The Texans are becoming a bad football team again. It continues. Right.
Zach: Raiders. I'm picking against Kubiak out of spite. Wrong.

Eagles +3 vs. Cowboys

Ben: Cowboys. Why is this game the Sunday night game this week? Didn't people expect Colts/Pats to be something? Anyway, Eagles lose because of two words: pass rush. Right.
David: Cowboys. Damn Eagles being so good and not having their record reflect it. I hardly care about this game. You know why? Pats-Colts is tomorrow. By the way, who you got in that game? Right.
John: Cowboys. The Eagles just aren’t as good a team this year, mostly because of their defense. It just isn’t the same. Throw on top of that Mcnabb’s inability to scramble like he used to in front of a banged up line, go with Dallas. Right.
Zach: Cowboys. I'm leery of an Eagles team that has their backs to the wall, but this Cowboys team is too good to pick against with that small of a spread. Right.

Steelers -7.5 vs. Ravens

Ben: Steelers. Baltimore is the AFC version of Carolina. Unfortunately the odds makers are wising up to this as evidenced by the line this week. I'm taking the Steelers anyways. Right.
David: Steelers. One of the best teams in the league, at home, will run away with it. By the way, who you got in the Pats-Colts game? Right.
John: Steelers. It seems that for two good defensive teams, this is WAY too big a spread. But Baltimore still isn’t completely healthy and their defense is down. So is their offense. Take Pitt at home. Right.
Zach: Steelers. I liked Pittsburgh before I heard that Baltimore was without their top two corners. Now, I like them all the more. Right

Last Week

Ben: 9-4
David: 7-6
John: 8-5
Zach: 8-5

Season Standings

Zach: 72-49-9
David: 69-52-9
Ben: 58-63-9
John: 48-73-9